As we get into the middle part of June, the baseball season
has heated up along with the weather. Consequently, players are racking up
enough plate appearances to the point where the leaderboards and stats start to
gain credibility. There are no more qualified players batting .400 or on pace
to hit 80 home runs, so now the real stars and breakout players are starting to
appear and cement their status as All-Star contenders. Today, we will take a
look at the possible lineups for this summer’s midsummer classic in Citi Field.
In accordance with the rules, lets set the roster at 33
players (and 5 final vote candidates). The rosters have consistently had 21
hitters and 13 pitchers, so let’s keep to these standards. Additionally, every
team must be represented on the team. With these conditions in mind, I have
assembled below the ideal All Star roster in my mind (Starters in bold).
First Base:
Chris Davis, BAL +4.2
WAR - Second-best hitter in the
American League, leading the league in home runs… the list goes on. He’s the
unquestioned starting first baseman.
Mark Trumbo, LAA +2.0
WAR - This was a very questionable pick due to Prince Fielder’s prowess at the
plate. However, Trumbo’s superior base running and defense more than make up
for Fielder’s edge in the hitting department.
Second Base:
Dustin Pedroia, BOS
+2.5 WAR – He’s not hitting for much
power but doing everything else at an All-Star level, so this was an easy pick.
Gold Glove candidate and almost .400 OBP an all-star starter make.
Howie Kendrick, LAA +2.3
WAR – Kendrick is currently the best-hitting second baseman in the AL. He’s a
very good all-star backup and a case could be made for him to be the starter
this year.
Shortstop:
Johnny Peralta, DET
+3.0 WAR – Steroid allegations
notwithstanding, Peralta has been absolutely raking this year. Some of that has
ben BABIP-driven of course (.418!), but even so he’s the best SS in the AL
right now.
JJ Hardy, BAL – +2.0
WAR Hardy has been hitting for enough power this year to make up for his
on-base deficiencies, and his slick glove pushes him onto the All-Star team as
a SS.
Third Base:
Miguel Cabrera, DET
+4.4 WAR – Probably the best hitter in the game, Cabrera is having an even
better season than his triple-crown winner last year. His offensive firepower
more than makes up for his defensive deficiencies.
Evan Longoria, TB +4.1
WAR – Longoria is on an absolute tear this year, keeping the Rays in the race
with timely hitting and excellent defense. Longoria would be on pace to win the
silver slugger if it wasn’t for Cabrera, and the gold glove if not for
Manchado. He is the second best third baseman in the league.
Manny Manchado, BAL +4.0 WAR – Right now Manchado looks like
the best defender in baseball, leading all of baseball with a 14.6 UZR. He also
is leading the league with 33 doubles.
Josh Donaldson, OAK +3.0 WAR – Donaldson is exceeding all
expectations this year, putting up a 142 wRC+ and playing a nice third base to
boot. He is one of the big reasons the A’s are in first this year.
Catcher:
Joe Mauer, MIN +3.1
WAR – Joe Mauer may never hit for the same power he displayed in 2009, but even
without it he still is the class of the AL with his on-base skills.
Carlos Santana, CLE +1.9 WAR – Cleveland’s lone all-star
representative, Santana is both getting on base at a good clip and hitting for
solid power. An offensive-minded catcher whose hitting makes up for his shoddy
defense.
Jason Castro, HOU +1.9 WAR – While Castro is also a team rep
like Santana, his solid hitting for a catcher merits his All Star selection,
although he is probably the least-qualified player on this list.
Designated Hitter:
David Ortiz, BOS +2.0
WAR – No player is more of a slam-dunk selection as Ortiz is. Papi came back
from his injury as strong as ever, as his 162 wRC+ sits on the top of the DH
leaderboard.
Outfield:
Mike Trout LF, LAA +4.3
WAR – Trout may not be having quite as good a season as the one last year, but
it is still good enough to keep him in the MVP conversation. Trout’s five tools
make him far and away the best outfielder in baseball.
Jose Bautista RF, TOR
+2.7 WAR – Bautista isn’t
necessarily tearing the cover off the ball, but he still should be the starter
in right field due to the underwhelming crop of outfielders in the AL this
year. His offense is still good, and according to UZR he is having his best
defensive season this year.
Brett Gardner CF, NYY
+2.6 WAR – Wait, what? When you
see Gardner as the CF starter for the All Star game, you know something is
wrong. But the reality is that while many of the top AL outfielders have
floundered (looking at you Josh Hamilton), Gardner seized the center field job
in NYY and never looked back. With excellent base running and defense
supplanted by above-average offense, Gardner is worthy of starting the All Star
Game.
Alex Rios, CWS +2.3 WAR– Rios isn’t doing anything
incredible, but instead is performing at an above average level in every facet
in the game (116 wRC+, 2.6+ runs on the bases, 7.1+ runs in the field). Put it
all together, and you get a capable all-star backup.
Coco Crisp, OAK +2.0 WAR– Crisp has cooled off from his
early power surge, but is still getting on base at a good clip and putting his
opportunities to use on the bases. Another pick that isn’t flashy but gets the
job done.
Adam Jones, KCR +1.9 WAR– Jones has many doubters among the
saber metric community, but despite his hatred of taking a walk (2.5 BB%), he
still is driving the ball (AL leading 15 HR) and getting on base thanks to his
.303 batting average. Jones would be a terrific pinch-hitting option for Jim
Leyland if the AL needed power from the bench.
Pitchers:
Clay Buchholz, BOS +2.9
WAR – Buchholz has simply been outstanding this year and leads qualified
starters in ERA. His solid peripherals back up his run prevention, and Jim
Leyland should have no fear in tabbing Buchholz to start the game.
Felix Hernandez, SEA +3.1 WAR – Hernandez has been his usual
self this year, which is code for really freaking good. Hernandez is turning in
yet another Cy-Young caliber season and was an easy selection
Yu Darvish, TEX +3.0 WAR – Darvish has been absolutely
ridiculous this year, posting the highest strikeout rate among qualified
starters with his seemingly endless arsenal of pitches. Darvish is everything
that people thought Dice-K was going to be: a legitimate ace.
Anibal Sanchez, DET +3.1 WAR – Sanchez has been lighting up
the AL this year with his dominating stuff and came two outs away from a
no-hitter. He is leading the AL in fielding-independent WAR despite making only
13 starts due to injury.
Doug Fister, DET +2.8 WAR – Fister is turning into the next
Dan Haren, with his refusal to give up walks and above-average strikeout rate.
He has also been stingy about giving up home runs, something Haren was not good
at. In any case, Fister has been excellent despite his underwhelming Detroit
defense behind him.
Justin Verlander, DET +2.7 WAR – If it weren’t for his
pedigree, Verlander would probably not make this list. He simply has given up
too many runs and currently sports an average-looking 3.72 ERA. However, much
of this is due to his sky high BABIP (.344) that is most certainly a product of
the bad Detroit defense. He is striking out more batters than ever (10.37) and
is too good to take off the roster.
Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA +2.2 WAR - A relatively unknown player
before this season, Iwakuma has turned in a fantastic out of nowhere season
with a 2.06 ERA. A good strikeout rate and terrific walk rate will usually do
the trick, and Iwakuma has done exactly that.
Max Scherzer, DET +3.1 WAR – Scherzer has finally harnessed
his amazing stuff and is currently in the middle of his finest season to date.
Scherzer would be the staff ace on any other team, and might be better than
Verlander right now. Off to a 10-0 start, the sky is the limit for Scherzer and
it doesn’t look like he’ll be losing any time soon.
James Shields, KC +2.3 WAR – While many heavily scrutinized
Dayton Moore for trading in Myers for a new ace, Shields has lived up to the
billing and done everything that the Royals could ask for. While his
run-prevention skills (2.72 ERA) haven’t exactly translated into wins (2-6
record), Shields has been a bright spot for a team with one of the worst
offenses in baseball.
Mariano Rivera NYY +1.48 WPA– Mo has been fantastic in his
farewell season with New York, with 25 saves against 1 blown save. He is one of
the main reasons the Yankees are still in the playoff race and will be Jim
Leyland’s go to option in the 9th.
Jessie Crain CWS +2.15 WPA – Crain has been the most
lockdowny (not a real word) setup man in the league this year, only allowing 2
runs to date in 34 appearance, good for a .55 ERA. His success can be
attributed to a career high strikeout (11.85 K/9), and he will probably be
Leyland’s first option to pitch in the 8th inning.
Greg Holland KC +0.73 WPA – The Royals haven’t had many save
opportunities this year, but when they do Holland almost always converts them
to wins (15 out of 17). Holland’s blazing fastball and nasty slider have led to
a ridiculous 14.19 K/9 and should inspire confidence as a strikeout-option for
Leyland.
Glenn Perkins MIN +1.72 WPA – Perkins is one of the main
reasons the Twins have held their head above water this season (a 33-36 record
should be considered a success for the Twins). Perkins has converted 18 out of
20 save opportunities with outstanding strikeout (13.01 K/9) and walk (1.95
BB/9) rates. A former starter, Leyland could easily call on Perkins to pitch
multiple innings if the need arises.
Final Vote Candidates :
Grant Balfour, OAK +2.62 WPA – Balfour has been lights out for
the Oakland bullpen and leads all AL relievers with 2.62 wins added according
to win-probability. A worthy choice.
Chris Sale, CWS +2.3 WAR – Sale has been All-Star worthy based
off his rate stats, but hasn’t pitched enough innings to make the initial cut.
Some of this has to do with the White Sox careful handling of him due to his
age, but regardless Sale would be a fine addition to the All-Star staff.
Kyle Seager, SEA +2.7 WAR – Seager would probably make the
All-Star team any other year, but for some reason this year is the year of the
third baseman. With 4 other third baseman on the team already, I couldn’t fit
Seager on the team. He would, however, be a terrific 34th man on the
team and can play both second and third.
Robinson Cano, NYY +1.9 WAR – Cano hasn’t had his typical
MVP-type season this year, but his hitting (122 wRC+) is still good enough to
be in the conversation for the All Star team.
Derek Holland, TEX +2.8 WAR – If it weren’t for all those Tiger
starting pitchers, Holland probably would’ve made my fantasy all-star team. Still,
Holland’s solid performance this year shouldn’t be forgotten, and if I had to
choose I would tab him to be the 34th man on the team.
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