Tuesday, April 30, 2013

NL Predictions



                NL East:

1.       Nationals
2.       Braves
3.       Phillies
4.       Mets
5.       Marlins

                NL Central:
1.       Reds
2.       Cardinals
3.       Brewers
4.       Pirates
5.       Cubs                                                                                                                                                                                             
                NL West:
1.       Giants
2.       Dodgers
3.       Diamondbacks
4.       Rockies
5.       Padres

Playoff Predictions:
NL East: Nationals
NL Central: Reds
NL West: Giants
Wildcard #1: Braves
Wildcard #2: Dodgers
NLDS: Nationals vs. Braves (recent wildcard addition allows for division rivals to play in round),
            Reds vs. Giants
NLCS: Nationals vs. Giants
NLCS Winner: Nationals
World Series: Tigers vs. Nationals
WS Winner: Nationals

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

NBA Playoff Predictions Part 2


George Klein     
                                                                Western Conference
(1)    OKC Thunder vs. (8) Houston Rockets
The Thunder had a relatively easy season, steamrolling the conference to the first seed. Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook were good as always, and Kevin Martin brings offensive punch off the bench. The Rockets rode GM Daryl Morey’s moneyballish moves to a surprising finish in the playoffs. The Rockets are led by James Harden, traded by the Thunder last off season  who is definitely looking for redemption. Despite Harden’s best efforts though , the outlook does not look good for the Rockets this series.
Prediction: Thunder in 5

(2)    San Antonio Spurs vs. (7) Los Angeles Lakers
A season for the Lakers filled with ups and downs finally reaches its end in this series. With Kobe Bryant out for the season with a torn Achilles, the situation is bleak. Can Dwight Howard show the maturity to lead this team? Can he and Pau Gasol work well together when they are on the court at the same time? Can Nash return from injury pain-free and 100%? In any case, Dwight Howard is going to have to make his free throws for the Lakers to entertain thoughts of an upset; he shot under 50% for the season and teams frequently employed the Hack-a-Howard strategy. The Spurs meanwhile keep chugging along. Tim Duncan was as good as ever, Tony Parker had a great season, which, before he was struck by injury, placed him in the MVP conversation (before Lebron went crazy of course).
Prediction: Spurs in 5

(3)    Denver Nuggets vs. (6) Golden State Warriors
The Nuggets took several steps forward this season, the capper a 15 game winning streak. But with Danillo Gallinari out for the season, things will get tougher for the team this series. On the other side the Warriors led by Steph Curry’s record-breaking three point field goals, made a surprise run to the playoffs. Game 1 though was heartbreaking for the team with Andre Miller’s buzzer beater and losing David Lee for the rest of the season. The Nuggets are more athletic with Andre Iguodala, and have reason to be confidant.
Prediction: Nuggets in 6
(4)    Los Angeles Clippers vs. (5) Memphis Grizzlies
This rematch from last year’s postseason will be hard-fought and closely contested. After trading away Rudy Gay, the Grizzlies have soared, led by their center Marc Gasol. Lob City is in full force, with Chris Paul and Blake Griffin each having magnificent seasons. The teams are play the same styles as last season, and looking at the exciting series they played, this series is one to watch for.
Prediction: Clippers in 7



Sunday, April 21, 2013

NBA Playoffs first round predictions


George Klein                                      
4/21/2013
                                                             EASTERN CONFERENCE
(1)    Miami Heat vs. (8) Milwaukee Bucks
This series is going to be rough for the Bucks. The Heat have steamrolled through the entire league all season and they show no sign of stopping. On the other side, the Bucks have been up and down, sneaking into the playoffs not necessarily on their own merit, but the weakness of the whole conference. Brandon Jennings is going to chuck way too many shots throughout the whole series (especially after his bold claim the Bucks will win this series in 6); if he gets crazy hot one game, sparking memories of his 56 point outburst his rookie season, the Bucks might be able to scrap out a win. The greatest player in the league Lebron James and the best team are here and here to stay. If Wade and Bosh keep up their season long efficiency with Shane Battier and Mike Miller canning threes, this series could reach historical blowout heights.
Prediction: Heat in 4

(     (2)    New York Knicks vs. (7) Boston Celtics
The Knicks are looking to reclaim their glory at MSG these playoffs, led by star Carmelo Anthony, who looks to be advancing to the second round for only the second time in his career. He is joined by probable 6th man of the year J.R. Smith, and a strong supporting class with the likes of veteran Jason Kidd, comeback story Kenyon Martin, and up and coming Chris Copeland. Meanwhile, the Celtics endured a season full of troubles and turmoil. PG Rajon Rondo is out for the season with a torn ACL and Kevin Garnett is battling a knee injury. The Celtics are hungry, especially after the events surrounding the Boston Marathon last week. Their window of opportunity closing, the Celtics look for Paul Pierce and Jeff Green to handle much of the scoring load.
Prediction: Knicks in 5

(     (3)    Indiana Pacers vs. (6) Atlanta Hawks
In all likelihood, it would take a miracle for the Hawks to win this series. The Pacers are just better in every facet of the game; they’re longer, quicker, and better shooters. Paul George is the catalyst for this team; all the offence runs through him. Roy Hibbert and David West form a powerful backcourt for the Pacers. Hibbert provides defensive punch, blocking around 2.5 shots per game, and West’s main strength is on the offensive side, averaging about 17ppg. The Hawks are led by pg Jeff Teague who had a strong season, Josh Smith who is trying to prove that he is a star in this league deserving a max contract, and Al Horford who is dependable at the center position.
Prediction: Pacers in 5

(     (4)    Brooklyn Nets vs. (5) Chicago Bulls
The Bulls are still without their star Derek Rose, who reports say most likely will not be back for any part of the playoffs. So like they have all season, the Bulls are going to have to make due with Luol Deng, defensive star Joakhim Noah, and free-agent disappointment Carlos boozer. Unfortunately for the Bulls, the Nets have been hot throughout the second half of the season. Deron Williams has been on a hot streak and performing with the league’s best, Joe Johnson is improving and Brook Lopez has been a standout offensive performer at center for them all season. The Nets are looking very good in this matchup.
Prediction: Nets in 6

Western Conference predictions out soon!

Sunday, April 14, 2013

Groton Sports Opinions: 2013 AL Baseball Predictions

Groton Sports Opinions: 2013 AL Baseball Predictions: George Klein                            AL EAST 1.       Tampa Bay Rays The Rays boast one of the best rotations in baseball, even a...

2013 AL Baseball Predictions


George Klein                           
AL EAST
1.      Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays boast one of the best rotations in baseball, even after trading James Shields (15-10, 3.52) to the Royals for uber-outfield prospect Wil Myers. Myers will begin the season in the minors to delay his free agency by a year, and the Rays’ other bats must compensate. Evan Longoria needs to remain healthy though this season (74 games played in 2012, 133 in 2011) for the Rays to achieve their lofty expectations for the season. Desmond Jennings will look to build on a mediocre season (.257, 15, 54, 38 SB), and put more of his tools and enormous potential to use.
Best Case: The staff performs at historic levels and with the additions of Myers, SS Yunel Escobar, and 2B Kelly Johnson to the lineup, the Rays head to the World Series
Worst Case: The pitching will still keep the team in ballgames, but with a lacking offence the Rays sink into the middle of the pack in the closely contested AL East.


2.      Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays went through massive changes in the offseason, making a shocking trade with the Marlins in an 11 player deal, signing R.A. Dickey (20-6, 2.73, 230 K) the NL Cy Young award winner and Melky Cabrera (.346, 11, 60, suspended 50 games for PEDs). Star shortstop Jose Reyes (.287,11,50,40 sb) looks to continue his strong level of production, while starting pitcher Josh Johnson (8-14, 3.81), also a part of the Marlins deal, is trying to get back  to his ace level of production,  but following years and years of injuries he might not have it in him. Mark Buerhle (13-13, 3.74) adds a veteran presence to the clubhouse while eating innings, and Jose Bautista (.241, 27, 65) needs to get back to his star form after a broken wrist injured his 2012 season.
Best Case: The offseason moves work with Dickey and Johnson leading the rotation, while Reyes and Cabrera as lineup anchors. Bautista comes back from his injury with no lingering problems, leading the team to an AL East win, and a battle in the ALCS.
Worst Case: Injuries to Johnson, Reyes, Bautista, and Brandon Morrow (10-7, 2.96) ruin this team, Cabrera and Buehrle flop, and the team ends up with an under .500 record.

3.      Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles sport a similar team that last year took a magical run to the postseason. The team is going to rely on the continued improvement of Chris Tillman (9-3, 2.93), Brian Matusz (6-10, 4.87), and Manny Machado (.262, 7, 26), along with their incredible record in one run games last season (29-9).  Star pitching prospect Dylan Bundy waits in the wings, and could provide a boost for the team in August and September. Brian Roberts (.182, 0, 5) and Nick Markakis (.298, 13, 54) will look to recover their pre-injury form; this will prove especially hard for Roberts who has been sidelined with concussions the past three seasons. Adam Jones (.287, 32, 82), and Matt Wieters (.249, 23, 83) are the growing stars and are the backbone of this team.
Best Case: 2012 proves to not be a fluke year; Machado shows great improvement at the plate while Bundy dominates down the stretch. The team gains a wildcard spot in the postseason.
Worst Case: The young players fail to improve, the O’s pitching flounders, and the team ends up with a mid-70s win total, far out of playoff contention.

4.      Boston Red Sox
After their worst season in years, a disaster under Bobby Valentine, the Red Sox must regroup to regain the affection of Red Sox Nation. Having added Shane Victorino (.255, 11, 55), Ryan Dempster (12-8, 3.38), Mike Napoli (.227, 24, 56), and Joel Hanrahan (2.72, 36 sv), the Red Sox will boast many new faces. But in order to get back to the level of play they were used to they must receive bounce back seasons from Jacoby Ellsbury (.271, 4, 26) and Jon Lester (9-14, 4.82). Will Middlebrooks (.288, 15, 54) at third needs to continue to provide a solid lineup spot.  Jackie Bradley Jr. is a star in the making in leftfield, adding a burst of enthusiasm and youth the team desperately needs.
Best Case: The clubhouse chemistry improves under the leadership of John Farrell, Ellsbury plays 150 games, the team wins 80 games and things look good for 2014.
Worst Case: The team plays old and lifeless and finishes last in the AL East in a second consecutive season for the first time since 1930.
5.      New York Yankees
This is finally the year. The dynasty is over. The Yankees are old and desolated by injuries. Teixeira(.251,24,84), Granderson (.232,43,106), Jeter(.316,15,58), and Alex Rodriguez (.272,18,57) are all casualties. Mariano Rivera (2.16, 5 sv) is still in rehab from Tommy John surgery and it could be more than a month before he is fully ready to play. Star pitching prospect Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances are still two years away from major league ready. Simply put, the the short term outlook of this team is the bleakest in almost two decades.
Best Case: The team battles hard in the AL East before fading from contention due to age in late August.
Worst Case: The team plays disinterested and soft and the Yankees fall far into the basement.

Detroit Tigers
1.      The Tigers look good this season, really really good. They have Miguel Cabrera (.330, 44,139), the Triple Crown Winner and reigning AL MVP. They have Justin Verlander (17-8, 2.64, 239k), 2011 Al CY Young award winner, and the rest of a very strong rotation with Doug Fister (10-10, 3.45), Anibal Sanchez (9-13, 3.86), and Max Scherzer (16-7, 3.74). The Tigers have added outfielder Tori Hunter (.313, 16, 92) and Victor Martinez (out last season with a torn ACL) to an already potent lineup. With the little competition in the AL Central, the Tigers will coast to the postseason. The only question is how far in the postseason they will go.
Best case: Cabrera and Verlander dominate once again, Martinez shows no ill effects of his injury, and the Tigers roll to the ALCS and beyond.
Worst Case: A shaky bullpen unravels and the Tigers lose in the first round of postseason action.
2.      Chicago White Sox
After a surprisingly good year in which they finished second in the AL Central, battling the Tigers all year long, the White Sox look to Chris Sale (17-8,3.05) and Jake Peavy (11-12,3.37) for the backbone rotation. For the White Sox to continue their strong run Alex Rios needs to break his inconsistency year to year (.304,25,91 in 2012, .227,13,44 in 2011) and Paul Konerko (.298,26,75) must continue to provide as the Lineups most consistent and powerful source.
Best Case: Konerko and Adam Dunn (.204, 41,96) launch a ton of balls and the team fights the Tigers all season.
Worst Case: The boppers show their age, Sale and Peavy regress, and the team stumbles to a middle of the pack AL Central finish.


3.      Kansas City Royals
The Royals are a young improving team. After an offseason trade for James Shields (15-10, 3.52, 223k) the Royals have their first bona-fide ace in years. In the lineup, Billy Butler (.313, 29,107) is a mainstay at the third spot providing power and Alex Gordon (.294, 14, 72) has developed into a strong defensive outfielder and table setter. Mike Moustakas (.242, 20, 73) looks to continue to improve on his pitch recognition skills and Eric Hosmer(.232,14,60) is trying to bounce back after a disappointing sophomore slump. A very young team the Royals will struggle mightily at some points this season but the long term outlook is optimistic.
Best Case: James Shields leads a strong rotation, all the young players continue to improve, and the Royals make a run at the second wild-card spot.
Worst Case: The young players flop, Shields is a bust, and the Royals have a 70 win season.

4.      Cleveland Indians
Terry Francona brings a new energy to a team that oftentimes played lackluster last season. Justin Masterson (11-15, 4.93) and Ubaldo Jimenez (9-17, 5.40) at the top of the rotation need to regroup after taking large steps backward last season. Asdrubal Cabrera (.270, 16, 68) and Jason Kipnis (.257, 14, 76,31sb) make up a very good middle infield. New additions Michael Bourn (.274, 9, 57,42sb), Nick Swisher (.272, 24, 93), and Mark Reynolds (.221, 23, 69) will provide speed and pop (Bourn the speed, Swisher and Reynolds the power). Star pitching prospect Trevor Bauer (1-2, 6.06) awaits in the wings at Triple-A and will most likely be called up mid-season.
Best Case: Swisher and Reynolds each hit 30, Bourn steals 45+ bags, Masterson and Jimenez regain their old form, and the Indians flirt with an above .500 record.

5.      Minnesota Twins
The Twins are in rebuilding mode. They will rely on rookie Aaron Hicks in the leadoff spot and in center field. New faces Vance Worley (6-9, 4.20) and Kevin Correia (12-11, 4.21) anchor the rotation while Mike Pelfrey (0-0, 2.29) tries to comeback from Tommy John surgery. The Twins still sport a lineup core of Joe Mauer (.310, 10, 85), Josh Willingham (.260, 35,110), and Justin Morneau (.267, 19, 77). Glen Perkins (2.56, 16sv) is looking like a blossoming star in the closer position. This team has valuable pieces, but it will be a couple of years before they are competitive in the AL Central.
Best Case: Morneau improves with a second injury free season, Pelfrey gets back to his 2011 season from, and the outlook is bright for the Twins
Worst Case: Mauer, Morneau, and Pelfrey deal with serious injuries and the Twins lose a hundred games.


AL West
1.      Los Angeles Angels
The Angels come in looking like a top team on paper, but as they know from last year you have to perform on the field. Mike Trout (.326, 30, 83, 49 sb) batting leadoff is arguably the best player in baseball. If Albert Pujols (.285, 30,105) has a bounceback year and Josh Hamilton (.285, 43,128) remains injury fee, the Angles could also have the best 3-4 punch in the game. The rotation boasts star Jered Weaver (20-5, 2.81) and southpaw CJ Wilson (13-10, 3.83) who looks to enjoy more success than his first go around. The backend of the rotation is all new with Jason Vargas (14-11, 3.85), Tommy Hanson (13-10, 4.48), and Joe Blanton (10-13, 4.71). The Angles are one of the favorites to make the World Series.
Best Case: Trout, Pujols, and Hamilton are an unstoppable combination, weaver and Wilson dominate, and the team rolls over the Tigers and into the World Series.
Worst Case: Pujols and Hamilton decline, the team visibly drags on the field, and the team misses the playoffs for a second consecutive year.




2.      Texas Rangers
The Rangers are still a strong offensive team with 3B Adrian Beltre (.321, 36, 102), 2B Ian Kinsler (.256, 19, 72), and OF Nelson Cruz (.260, 24, 90) leading the way in that department. SS Elvis Andrus (.286, 3, 62) is very strong in defensive and speed; him and rotation anchor Yu Darvish (16-9, 3.90) are blooming stars who are the future of this team. Matt Harrison (18-11, 3.29), Derek Holland (12-7, 4.67), and Alexi Ogando(2-0,3.27) all are young contributors to the rotation, and none have reached their peak. Super infield prospect Jurickson Profar (.176,1,2) will come up later in the season and hopefully will receive at least 300 Abs. Injured pitchers Colby Lewis (6-6,3.43), Martin Perez (1-4,5.45), and Neftali Feliz (3-1,3.16) will all be back at some point this season and will try to help this team down the stretch.
Best Case: Lewis, and Perez return from injury early, Cruz stays healthy all season, and the team is in the playoffs come October.
Worst Case: The injury bug hits the Rangers hard; the team proves to be too old and fragile. The Rangers miss out on the playoffs.

3.      Oakland Athletics
The Athletics are for real. Though they are devoid of any big names, with the possible exception of Yoenis Cespedes (.292, 23, 82), they have a great rotation with the likes of Jarrod Parker (13-8, 3.47), Brett Anderson (4-2, 2.57), and Tommy Milone. Young players Cespedes, Josh Reddick (.242, 32, 85), and AJ Griffin (7-1, 3.06) are in a great position to build on their performances from last year.  In a strong yet crowded outfield, Coco Crisp (.259, 11, 46,39sb) is the table-setter for this team with blazing speed and Chris Young (.231, 14, 41) adds some pop. The A’s have a strong back end of their bullpen, with closer Grant Balfour (2.53, 24sv), and Ryan Cook (2.09, 14sv), one of last year’s standout rookies.
Best Case: The walk-off hits keep coming, Cespedes reaches new heights, and the A’s once again are AL West champions.
Worst Case: The strong pitching is unable neutralize a weak lineup, and the A’s regress back to a mid-70’s win total.

4.      Seattle Mariners
The Mariners will again try to support their star pitcher Felix Hernandez (13-9, 3.06, 223k). They have added solid pieces in Kendrys Morales (.273, 22, 73) and Mike Morse (.291, 18, 62). Young players Michael Saunders (.247, 19, 57), Jesus Montero (.260, 15, 62), and Dustin Ackley (.226,12,50) try to take steps forward after each put forth a disappointing 2012 season. Third overall pick Mike Zunino won’t be in the minors for long; he’s a very polished prospect.


Best Case: Morales and Morse add some power, Hernandez dominates again, and the Mariners win 75 games.
Worst Case: The offence flounders, Hernandez regresses, and the Mariners lose 95 games.
5.      Houston Astros
The Astros are bad, really bad. They are without a doubt the worst team of the past decade. Their entire payroll is less than Alex Rodriguez’s salary this year. The scary part is that this season could prove to be even worse than last year, the by-product of their move from the NL Central to the AL West. Jose Altuve (.290, 7, 37,33sb) is solid at second, Bud Norris (7-13, 4.65, 8.8k/9) and Lucas Harrell (11-11, 3.76) could be average to slightly above average pitchers this season, and Jason Castro (.257,6,29) is improving at catcher. Everything else about this team is horrendous, proof as the Astros are going to rely on Carlos Pena (19hr, 61rbi), who hit .197 last season and Chris Carter (16hr,39rbi) who hit .239, in the three and four spots in the rotation. The lineup is trash, and the backend of the rotation is going to be pummeled.
Best Case: Pena and Carter break out, Norris miraculously dominates, and the Astros win 60 games.
Worst Case: The team plays to their talent and sets baseball’s single season loss record.

Playoff Predictions:
Al East: Rays
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Angels
Wildcard #1: Blue Jays
Wildcard #2: Rangers
ALDS: Angels vs. Blue Jays, Tigers vs. Rays
ALCS: Angels vs. Tigers
ALCS Winner Tigers
Who will the Tigers play in the World Series? NL predictions coming soon!





Gauging Importance…



There are teams that are little more than nine guys with a keeper behind them feeding one guy the ball in the hope he does something special. Barcelona, in the wake of their close victory against PSG, having to rely on an injured Messi in order to win, have been accused of this.
But this accusation is a little inaccurate, because it fails to recognize that any team without their starting center forward would struggle against the Paris outfit, which is rapidly improving, due in equal measure to the fact that they have bought their way to European relevance and the fact that have steadily been gelling as a team throughout the season. Messi is really irreplaceable in many ways. His ability to initiate the attack allows Xavi to sit behind Iniesta, and gives Barcelona a much more free form attack that is a nightmare to defend against. His individual ability to bounce around a back line like a pinball wizard and then pop up one on one with the keeper for an easy finish is near miraculous. If Messi is not the best player in the world, he’s the second best. It’s tough to replace that no matter who you are.
Real without Cristiano Ronaldo is a very different side. It packs less of a punch on the break, (score counter attack goals at half the rate when he leaves the field) it requires more patience to break down a defense, and it’s generally less pleasant to watch. But Ronaldo does not equate to victory for Real Madrid quite the same way as Messi does for Barcelona. Without the goals scored by Cristiano or Lionel, Barcelona are sixth and Real Madrid sit in first. Messi's goals usually are difference makers, Ronaldo has a lot of superfluous goals in blowout wins.
 Barcelona use Messi to turn possession into goals. Without him, the ball gets played forward almost a quarter less than when he is on the field. He turns the Barcelona possession into goals. He pops up at the edge of the box, and makes magic happen. 
Real Madrid uses Ozil for that same role. Ronaldo is used to score goals, many goals, beautiful goals. But he isn’t the creative center of the team, and he doesn’t score as many important goals as Messi as evidenced by the table above. His on ball skills are the best in the world, and his range of goals is greater, but it’s more of a vaudeville act than timely and useful contributions.
All this turns to a focal point, zooming in on North London, more specifically White Hart Lane. Tottenham are going in to the last stretch of the season with Bale out for two weeks, and not at his best for who knows how long. Thankfully for all Tottenham supporters, a throng in which I am included, the next two weeks are less sparsely populated with contests as possible. Their game against Chelsea is postponed, which they’ll need him for desperately.
Tottenham statistically aren’t doomed, but anyone who watches them play without Bale notices a distinct lack of a certain something. The team plays without panache, without as much intrepidness. Statistically speaking, Tottenham should be fine. Having Bale doesn’t seem to improve them too much, until you watch them. Technically speaking, Tottenham haven’t won a game in 2013 without Bale scoring in it. But earlier this season that wasn’t the case. The broad stroke doesn’t look too bad, but it’s hard to convince a Tottenham supporter that.
Stats show how pivotal Bale has become. In the eight games he has been missing this season, Tottenham have roughly the same winning percentage and goal differential.His absence earlier in the season was not nearly the calamity his absence now is. Tottenham drew against a beatable Everton squad they deserved to lose to. The lack of incisiveness heretofore masked by the flying Welshman was all too apparent. Bale’s heroics mask two important and specific problems for Tottenham:
A)        Tottenham has no one else to unlock a side. Bale creates more chances than anyone else in the squad. Although he is a left-winger, he creates more chances than anyone else by a margin of eight chances created. His creation chart shows a greatly varied set of chances created. It looks more like Mesut Ozil's than Ronaldo's. He has created more chances on the right wing than Lennon, who plays that position as his primary role.
B)        Tottenham has no person to put the ball in the back of the net consistently outside of Bale. Adebayor is not playing like he did last year, Defoe is not the striker they need, and the lack of depth at that position may very well end up costing them Champions League football, and subsequently, Bale, who’ll most likely seek Champions league football at the Bernabeu. Tottenham may then go back to mid-table obscurity for a long time.

Tottenham’s situation boils down to a system that is missing an integral piece. If the individual quality of Bale mixed with generous amounts of luck, they may escape into the Champions League, however unlikely that may be at this junction. In order to improve, they must find the solutions to these problems, or risk all the gains they have made over the past half-decade.
This all gets distilled into the question of what makes a footballer important. It’s not necessarily his quality, or his statistics. It’s what his team is without him. Real is still a force to be reckoned with when Ronaldo is not there, due to its star power at other positions. Barcelona suffers, but still is a strong side capable of winning games, but without Messi, Barcelona is not the cream of the crop. They become a boring holding team without much venom in the final third. Tottenham without Bale are neutered. Great players have always made the difference. So has their absence.

A Fun Realignment Exercise


The Astros have now played their first week in the AL, and are officially part of the Junior Circuit. The first team to switch leagues since 1998, the move was met with criticism from Astros fans, especially after Bud Selig's interview on the subject. Bud talks a lot about the geography factor being the primary reason for the move, and I have always thought it was fun to imagine a baseball league with all the division perfectly aligned. Unlike the MLB, the NHL and NBA divide the teams solely by their proximity to one another. In a perfect world, if we could all start from scratch, here are the 6 divisions that I think would make the most sense in terms of travel time. They would be split up into two leagues called the East and West.

Western League:

Pacific:
Mountain:
Midwest:
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Angels
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
Chicago Cubs

Eastern League:

South:
Northeast:
Great Lakes:
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
Cleveland Indians
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds

And there you have it! Awesome new divisions with shipping and handling sold separately! But in all seriousness, in terms of flight times these ones make a lot more sense than the old ones. Seattle was annoying to find a home for by virtue of its vast distance from all the other teams. If you really wanted to be exact, then you would move the Brewers to the west and slice the Chicago teams down the middle, but if MLB were to actually do some sort of realignment then I think they would put the two Chicago teams in the same questions.

Given the reputation of the ballparks in each league, the batting seems to favor to the East and the pitching seems to favor the West. The West has 5 of the 6 most run-suppressing parks due to the newer spacious parks with denser air in California. It would seem wise to assume that the Western league would be more of a pitcher’s league and the Eastern league as a batting league. However, according to ESPN the average park factor for runs on the West is 1.004 compared to 1.011 on the East. Ok, so there is not much of a difference. Maybe nothing would change in reality because Coors and Chase Field would balance out parks like Petco and Safeco.

Moving on to the talent, I constructed some preliminary starting lineups for some potential all-star squads. WAR values over the past 3 years in parentheses.

East:

C: Carlos Ruiz (12.3), Matt Wieters (10.8)
1B: Joey Votto (18.8), Prince Fielder (12.6)
2B: Robinson Cano (19.5), Ben Zobrist (15.8)
SS: Jose Reyes (12.5), Jimmy Rollins (10.7)
3B: Miguel Cabrera (19.8), Evan Longoria (16.2)
LF: Ryan Braun (18.8), Justin Upton (10.6)
CF: Andrew McCutchen (15.6), Michael Bourn (14.2)
RF: Jose Bautista (17.4), Jayson Heyward (12.9)

SP: Justin Verlander (21.8), Cliff Lee (17.8), Roy Halladay (18.0), Cole Hamels (16.9), David Price (16.8)

West:

C: Yadier Molina (13.2), Buster Posey (13.2)
1B: Albert Pujols (15.0), Adrian Gonzalez (14.0)
2B: Ian Kinsler (13.4), Howie Kendrick (10.4)
SS: Troy Tulowitski (12.9), Alexi Ramirez (10.1)
3B: Adrian Beltre (18.2), Chase Headley (14.0)
LF: Matt Holliday (15.7), Alex Gordon (11.9)
CF: Matt Kemp (11.7), Mike Trout (10.7)
RF: Josh Hamilton (16.4), Carlos Gonzalez (12.0)

SP: Jered Weaver (19.5), Clayton Kershaw (18.9), Felix Hernandez (16.9), Matt Cain (15.1), CJ Wilson (12.7)

You have to give it to the East here. They have better talent across the board, both in pitching and in hitting. The only places where the West have the advantage are in SS, C, and their number 2 pitcher. Even with the recent infusion of talent into the Los Angeles area, and the Western heavy World Series over the past 3 years (the only team from the East to be represented was the Detroit Tigers, who were swept by the Giants), the East clearly has the edge in top talent. Let’s see if this discrepancy is based off of payroll. According to Deadspin, the average payroll for the East would be around $109 million, and for the West it would be around $103 million. A noticeable difference, but not enough to explain the wide talent discrepancy. Perhaps this sort of thing runs in cycles, as it seems like back in the early 2000s the West was stronger, with powerful teams like the Giants, Mariners, Diamondbacks, Angels, Athletics, and Twins routinely advancing deep into the playoffs. In 2002 both Western divisions had a combined 6 teams with at least 92 wins apiece. Unless MLB seriously considers a radical realignment, which despite my dreams will never happen, we will never know what true East and West leagues would be like.